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Denver Metro Real Estate Market Trends and Conditions
Everytime you read the newspaper or a financial magazine, you see opinions on real estate. Are we in a bubble or not? Will interest rates go up or not? Will your house be worth more or less a year from now? Depending on the story, the mood is optimistic, pessimistic or cautious. I've sorted through statistics to compile my own pro and con table below.
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Optimistic View |
Pessimistic View |
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Interest Rates Are Low |
Interest rates are expected to rise, which will make houses less affordable. |
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Denver is ranked 78 out of 161 major metropolitan cities as far as affordable homes based on median wages. The entire chart can be seen at http://www.nahb.org/fileUpload_details.aspx?contented=535 |
A house that costs ,000 today was almost ,000 less seven years ago. |
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The Denver job market is improving |
The Denver unemployment rate is 5.0% (12/04, Bureau of Labor Statistics). While this is slightly better than the 5.4% national rate, it is more than double the 2.3% annual rate for Denver in 1999 and 2000. |
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Foreclosures may be rising but considering how many homes have been built in the metro area since 1988, the percentage of foreclosures is still much smaller than in 1988. |
Over 12,000 foreclosures were recorded in 2004. Foreclosures are at a level not seen since 1988, when there were 17,122 foreclosures. Foreclosed houses tend to go for less money than comparable houses, bring down prices in the entire neighborhood. |
My personal opinion is that with inventory high (that's the number of houses on the market), rental rates lower than a few years ago, and interest rates expected to go up, it could be a rocky few years. If you are expecting to sell in two years, this may not be the best time to buy a house. If, however, you're planning to be in a house for a considerable period of time, since interest rates are so low, this is a great time to buy. |